Archive for the ‘Confidence Intervals’ Category

Having a Girl

April 10, 2007

This is another confidence interval problem involving estimating the percentage of adults who would prefer to have a girl if they could have only one child.

Notice in this one how it is pretty much impossible to even consider polling the entire population, which is all US adults. Looks like not many people would choose to have a girl if they could choose what their only child was!

Computing confidence intervals is pretty straightforward. Just get the E and subtract it from the sample proportion \hat p to get the left endpoint of the confidence interval. Then add it to \hat p to get the right endpoint of the confidence interval :

(\hat p - E,\hat p + E)

Then the confidence level tells us how likely we feel it is the population proportion \theta is in this interval.

Problem adapted from Larson/Farber’s Elementary Statistics

 

Addicted to Smoking

April 8, 2007

This is a confidence interval problem.

Notice that in this example we computed the z* ourselves based on the 90% confidence level, but for most of the standard confidence levels (90%, 95%, 99%) you should just look them up in the table in our book on page 399.

For 90% confidence level, z*=1.645

For 95% confidence level, z*=1.960

For 99% confidence level, z*=2.576

This one has the memorable quote “If it says confidence interval you know it’s going to be a confidence interval problem.” Yeah!

Problem adapted from Larson/Farber’s Elementary Statistics